Saturday, March 24, 2012

First Results; Bottom Line

Mulclair comes in at the low end of predictipns;Topp exceeds expectations.  Dewar drops out.   Nash disappoints.  Will she drop out?  This may go a little longer than some folks thought.  Also turnout about half expected.

10 comments:

sharonapple88 said...

It might, but I believe Dewar, Ashton, and Singh have dropped out, so mathematically, just two more ballots.

Angus walks to Mulcair, but he doesn't seem happy about it. Seems more like a move to prevent a prolonged race -- time to rally the party and support the guy in front.

sharonapple88 said...

It might, but I believe Dewar, Ashton, and Singh have dropped out, so mathematically, just two more ballots.

Op. Three more. :P

Mulcair
Topp
Nash
Cullen

bigcitylib said...

Voter turnout is inteereting; if I remember about 50 thou voted in advance, 4000 here, on-line live component went AWOL.

sharonapple88 said...

Voter turnout is inteereting; if I remember about 50 thou voted in advance, 4000 here, on-line live component went AWOL.

On-line seems to be pulling 6000, which is 4.6% of the members. I thought it would have been a lot more.

I don't get why anyone would bother signing up to a party and then not voting on the leadership race. I could understand not doing something like this if membership was free, but you just paid $5--$25 for this. If you weren't going to do this, why bother signing up in the first place. Why not save your cash if you were going to stay home.

It looks like some people are saying that Mulcair might go over the top in the second ballot. If everyone was going to roll over for him, why bother having a race?

bigcitylib said...

Lesson in that for LPoC; don't expect much from online attendees.

sharonapple88 said...

Lesson in that for LPoC; don't expect much from online attendees.

Nope. (I'm keeping my fingers crossed that Kennedy gets the crazy idea to run again. :P)

Comparing the NDP race to the Conservative 2004 race, and the turn out was better -- 97,397 votes (67,143 voted for Harper -- more than the number who voted in the entire NDP race). There were a few differences -- higher spending limits, shorter race, just three candidates, a weighted race. Wonder what exactly made the difference.

sharonapple88 said...

Second ballot was rumoured to be higher, but it's still hovering around 62,000. Looks like on-line voting may indeed be a bust.

bigcitylib said...
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bigcitylib said...

Nope. Still went down.

bigcitylib said...
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